DISCLAIMER

This research report is prepared by PT MINNA PADI INVESTAMA Tbk for information purposes only and are not to be used or considered as an offer or the solicitation of an offer to sell or to buy or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. The report has been prepared without regard to individual financial circumstance, need or objective of person to receive it. The securities discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors. The appropriateness of any particular investment or strategy whether opined on or referred to in this report or otherwise will depend on an investor’s individual circumstance and objective and should be independently evaluated and confirmed by such investor, and, if appropriate, with his professional advisers independently before adoption or implementation (either as is or varied).

Kamis, 16 Januari 2014

Morning Dew - 17 January 2014

New Stocks on the Block

Three new debutants arrived at IDX: ASMI, CANI and BINA. ASMI gained 50% as the insurer settled the day at IDR405. Marine logistics operator CANI ended 19.5% higher while BINA, the second bank going public this year, finished the session with gains of 12.5%.

IDR fell again to end the day at 12,177 per US$.

JCI itself fell after a string of gains. Only two sectors ended up: agriculture (+0.84%) and mining (+0.03%). The high-flying finance sector took a 1.35% fall as profit-taking set in.

CPI Inched Higher

Jobless claims inched lower during the week ending Jan 4th. The reading of 325k was less than 328k expected initially.
US inflation at the consumer level inched higher. December’s numbers were 1.5% (YoY), with core was at the steady pace of 1.7% (YoY). Timid inflation may give some restrain to the Federal Reserve’s tightening campaign.

Technically Speaking...

JCI stepped back after a string of gains. The index recently hit the high at 4,459 and bumped into the 200-day EMA. 

Both RSI and stochastics indicators are entering the overbought area, but volume also on the rise, indicating the power of the rally. MACD has been up for four days in a row, also underlining the strength of the rally. Wednesday’s setback may serve as a temporary correction.

Near-term, resistance lies at 4,459, while next resistance area lies around 4,600-4,610. Fibonacci projection targets 4,700, however. On the downside, support lies at 4,400 and subsequently, 4,327 - a prior resistance now turned into support. Below 4,327 we also have support at 4,175 and 4,109.

Day Ahead

While JCI took a breather, the upside potential remains intact for now. The index is expected to knock on the 4,600-4,610 resistance area where its bullish commitment will be tested. Should it pass, 4,700 awaits. Below 4,400 may drive the index approaching the lower 4,300 support area.

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